Peter Green - January 13, 2019
Valencia vs Gijon
Spain- Copa del Rey.
Date: Tuesday, 15th January 2019.
Kick-Off at 20:30 UK/ 21:30 CET
Venue: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia).
The La Liga giants were shocked with a defeat in the return leg with a final score 2-1 in favor of the hosts.
The Bats have lost their last 2 matches in all competitions after being unbeaten in previous 5 games on the trot. The most common score in that spell was 2-1 which was the result of 4 of their last 5 matches. Both teams found the target in their previous 6 games on the row.
At home, the teams from Valencia have been unbeaten for 6 matches consecutively of which they won 5. In 4 of these 6 games, the total score was more than 2.5 goals. A crucial away goals by Kevin Gameiro at Gijon will be crucial if the match goes to the wire.
The Red and Whites are almost out of the race for the title or promotion in the Segunda Division. They are 11th at present with 13 points between them and table toppers Granada. Manager Jose Alberto will have something to show for this season if his team makes into the last 4 of the Cup.
His side has a narrow chance of reaching the last 8 at the moment. With that win over Valencia in the first leg, they have gained a statistical and mental advantage over the Bats. This was their second win in the last 5 matches in all competitions.
But in away games, they are struggling for wins at present. Currently, they are on a 3 match drawing streak away from home. On 3 of their recent 5 matches on the road, the final score had over 2.5 goals in total.
This match will definitely be a thriller as the hosts have to win and not concede as well. They will be considered as favorites to qualify for the pre-quarters.
This game has all chances to end as a draw. Gijon has drawn all their last 3 matches away from home. With a chance to qualify to the next stage they will definitely play with great intent. So we can bet on a Double Chance for the game to end as a draw or the visitors to win with 4.20 odds.
Although all 4 previous games of Valencia had over 2.5 goals in total, I don’t think it will be the case on Tuesday. The Red and Whites will be strong in defense, as they have only 1 goal lead in the tie. They have been doing these well in their last 2 away games on the trot. So we can bet on the score being under 2.5 goals with 2.50 odds.