Peter Green - August 18, 2020
Spezia vs Frosinone
Italy Serie B Promotion Playoff
Date: Thursday, 20 August 2020
Kick-Off at 20:15 UK/ 21:15 CET
Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia).
After a long season, Spezia and Frosinone will face off for a chance to play in the top tier. The home team is coming into this game with a one-goal lead in the first leg. That away goal will be crucial for them if the aggregate is drawn. Currently, they are on a two-match unbeaten run at home. So they have the upper hand against these visitors.
The away team has the golden chance to get back into Serie A after just a season in the second tier. But the canaries have never won any of the head to head games against the hosts at this ground. They will have to score to cancel the away goal advantage of the home team.
The home team is nearly unbeatable in front of their home crowd. A suitable example can be seen in the semi-finals of the playoffs. After losing 2-0 in the away leg against Chievo, they bounced back and won the home leg 3-1 to progress to the finals. Here they already have a goal lead which in fact is an away goal. Also, they have never lost to Frosinone at this ground.
Despite playing out of their comfort zone, Spezia managed to keep a clean sheet in the first leg. They had a good defensive record all through the normal season as well. In two recent head to head clashes here they managed to get clean sheets as well. So I am backing the home team to win and only one team to score.