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Peter Green - November 27, 2018
Qarabag vs Sporting
Europe- UEFA Europa League.
Date: Thursday, 29 November 2018
Kick-Off at 17:55 UK/ 18:55 CET
Venue: Baku Olympic Stadium (Baku).
Sporting is favorited when they meet the Azerbaijan Champions this Thursday in Round 5 of the UEL group stage.
Qarabag is at the bottom of the group with just 3 points. In their domestic league, they are 2nd after 12 rounds completed. Their only win in UEL came against Vorskla.
The home side is unbeaten in the last 5 matches across all competitions. This run includes 3 runs on the trot. The final score in 4 of those matches had fewer than 2.5 goals. A 3 match losing streak at home ended with a win in the league and currently, they are unbeaten in 2 home games.
There is only 1 more spot available for playoff qualification. Sporting is looking good to win it as they are 4 points clear of both the teams below them. They won against this opposition in the group opener back in September.
In their last 4 games, they have not lost a single match. Three wins came in that run and 5 of the last 6 matches in all competitions had over 2.5 goals in total. At present they are on a 2 match win streak and both matches had above 2.5 goals in total.
Another major highlight recently is their away form. They are unbeaten in the last 4 games which includes 3 wins. In 4 of the last 5 games on the road for them had over 2.5 goals at the final whistle.
I think Sporting will be back to winning ways in the Europa on Thursday considering their opponents.
Sporting has not lost their last 4 matches on the road. Since they won the reverse fixture and have a better squad compared to the hosts, we can expect an easy win for the Portuguese. Thus a bet can be placed on an away win with 1.70 odd.
The last h2h between them had fewer than 2.5 goals in total. In the last 3 matches, the hosts played in front of home fans had a similar scoreline at the final whistle. Three matches played in UEL by both teams followed the same trend also. So we can ne=bet on a final score below 2.5 goals with 1.80 odd.
