Turkey vs Bulgaria Prediction & Betting Tips

Turkey vs Bulgaria Match Preview

Turkey welcome Bulgaria for their second meeting of the World Cup Qualifiers, just days after a commanding 6-1 win in Sofia. That result extended Turkey’s sharp attacking momentum and placed them among the group’s most dangerous sides going forward. Bulgaria, on the other hand, have endured a nightmare campaign, conceding heavily and struggling to maintain any competitive rhythm. The rematch in Istanbul presents a chance for Turkey to strengthen qualification control, while the visitors seek damage limitation.

Turkey’s Attacking Confidence at Home

Turkey’s home form has become a reflection of their growing attacking maturity. Their 4-1 victory against Georgia earlier this week followed the emphatic 6-1 success over Bulgaria, showcasing a frontline capable of overpowering weaker defences. Despite the 0-6 loss to Spain, Turkey have generally been productive on home soil, also beating Hungary 3-1 and Montenegro 1-0 in previous fixtures.

The team’s strength lies in their direct transitions and clinical finishing. They have scored at least three goals in three of their last four home wins, and recent performances underline their ability to recover quickly from setbacks. While the defence can still appear stretched under pressure, Turkey’s attacking volume often compensates, especially against teams that lack structure or pace at the back.

Bulgaria’s Struggles Continue on the Road

Bulgaria’s campaign has been marked by recurring defensive collapses. They have conceded 20 goals across their last five matches, including consecutive 4-0 defeats to Spain and Greece. Their only bright moment in recent months was a 1-0 win in Luxembourg, but that came against modest opposition. Away from home, the sequence of 3-0, 4-0, and 4-0 defeats underlines a side unable to manage defensive organisation under sustained pressure.

The 1-6 loss to Turkey exposed those same vulnerabilities. Bulgaria’s back line failed to cope with Turkey’s pace and movement, while their midfield offered little resistance in transition. Unless they significantly tighten up, a similar pattern could unfold again, especially given their poor defensive record away from home.

Turkey vs Bulgaria Prediction

The data and recent head-to-head leave little room for uncertainty. Turkey’s 6-1 victory in the reverse fixture and their dominant home record make them clear favourites to win comfortably again. The main tip, Turkey 4-0 at 7.50 odds, aligns naturally with both form and scoring trends, with Turkey repeatedly showing the capacity to hit multiple goals against struggling opposition.

An additional angle is over 3.5 goals at 1.91 odds. Turkey’s last two wins have both crossed that threshold, and with Bulgaria conceding at least three goals in every defeat this campaign, another high-scoring outcome appears likely.

A convincing home victory, potentially by a margin of four or more goals, looks the most realistic scenario, with Turkey expected to dominate territory and possession from the outset.

Peter Green- November 11, 2025

Turkey vs Bulgaria Betting Tips

Turkey 4-0

OK

7.50 Odds

Over 3.5 Goals

OK

1.91 Odds