Sweden vs Slovenia Prediction & Betting Tips

Sweden vs Slovenia Match Preview

Sweden’s final Group B qualifier brings a chance to salvage some pride after a tough campaign, while Slovenia aim to finish on a positive note despite already being eliminated.

Both sides have struggled for wins, yet their head-to-head history paints a different picture: three straight draws and consistently open matches.

With neither team defending well and both showing signs of life in attack, this contest could provide more edge than the table suggests.

Sweden’s Poor Campaign but Attacking Signs Still Visible

Sweden’s form has been bleak. They’ve taken just one point from five qualifiers and come into this match on a run of four consecutive defeats.

Their defence has been their undoing, conceding 11 goals, including a 4-1 loss in Switzerland and 2-0 defeats against Kosovo. Even at home, they fell 1-0 to Kosovo and 2-0 to Switzerland, highlighting a lack of stability in the back line.

Yet the Blågult have shown occasional attacking spark. Their 2-2 draw away in Slovenia earlier in the campaign remains their standout display, and they also created chances in their narrow home defeat to Kosovo.

With three goals scored in five, it’s not prolific, but they face a Slovenia side conceding regularly which may give Sweden the platform for a stronger attacking output.

Slovenia Steady but Lacking a Cutting Edge

Slovenia’s campaign has also been underwhelming, with three draws and two defeats from their five matches. Their main issue is a lack of penetration in attack, scoring only two goals across the entire group.

Recent results show the same pattern: a 2-0 home defeat to Kosovo and a goalless draw with Switzerland. They do perform better in open contests, as seen in the 2-2 draw with Sweden in September.

Defensively, Slovenia have not been as solid as their low-scoring matches suggest. They conceded three away in Switzerland and allowed Sweden multiple chances in their first meeting. Their inability to protect leads or maintain structure late in games has cost them valuable points.

Sweden vs Slovenia Prediction

With both teams eliminated and playing without pressure, this match could be open more than their overall records imply. Sweden’s stronger attacking intent and home advantage align well with the betting angle of Sweden to win & Both Teams to Score. Slovenia have shown they can trouble this defence.

The suggested correct score of 3-1 Sweden matches both sides’ tendencies. Sweden can generate enough threat to score multiple times, especially against a Slovenia side that has conceded at least two goals in two of their last three games. Meanwhile, Slovenia should find a moment of their own given Sweden’s defensive numbers. A lively, open match is the most realistic outcome.

• Sweden to win & Both teams to Score @ 4.00 odds
• Sweden 3-1 @ 14.00 odds

Arun- November 16, 2025

Sweden vs Slovenia Betting Tips