Numancia vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tips

Numancia vs Mallorca Match Preview

Numancia have been strong at home in the league, scoring three goals in four of their last five outings. Mallorca arrive from a higher division with a mixed run but a resilient edge, especially in tighter matches.

Recent games for both sides show a contrast in levels but a shared pattern of controlled, low-margin contests. This sets up a Copa tie likely to hinge on discipline rather than flair.

Numancia’s Home Scoring Form Carries Weight but Defensive Gaps Remain

Numancia have produced an impressive scoring rhythm at home, putting three past Langreo, Real Valladolid II, Arenas Getxo and Salamanca UDS. Their only setback was the 1-2 loss to Coruxo, where defensive lapses cost them despite another goal scored. The Sorianos thrive when they dictate tempo, yet the goals they concede at home suggest they can be opened up by sharper opponents.

Their overall run shows three league wins in their last five across home and away, including a solid 0-1 success at Burgos Promesas. Even so, the team’s home pattern leans towards open matches rather than tight ones.

Mallorca Look Tougher Away From Home Despite Mixed Results

Mallorca’s away form shows both resilience and inconsistency. They lost narrowly at Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao by the same 2-1 scoreline, but produced a confident 0-2 win at Sant Just in the Copa. Their brightest display came at Sevilla, earning a strong 1-3 victory that highlighted their ability to manage demanding fixtures.

Across their last five away matches, Los Bermellones have alternated between scoring freely and struggling to convert, yet they have maintained competitive performances even in defeat.

Numancia vs Mallorca Prediction

Mallorca to win is the best bet, as the visitors consistently show a higher competitive level and have already delivered convincing away victories in this competition. Their recent away run includes two strong wins, and their narrow league defeats came against far stronger opposition than Numancia.

This tie also leans towards under 2.5 goals. While Numancia score heavily at home against their own tier, Mallorca’s defensive approach in cup play has produced controlled matches, including a 0-2 win at Sant Just and a 1-0 home success against Getafe. Their recent 2-2 draw with Osasuna is the only outlier in a run otherwise filled with low-scoring outcomes.

A tight Mallorca victory fits the pattern, and a 1-0 away win aligns with how the visitors often manage knockout ties.

• Mallorca to win
• Under 2.5 goals
• Mallorca 1-0

Afolabi Ezekiel- December 1, 2025

Numancia vs Mallorca Betting Tips