Moldova vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips

Italy travel to Chisinau for their final Group I of the European leg of World Cup qualifiers knowing that victory is essential to keep their World Cup qualification hopes alive. They sit second in the group with 15 points, three behind leaders Norway, and can still top the section if results go their way.

Moldova, by contrast, have endured another difficult campaign, collecting just one point from six games while conceding more goals than any other side in the group.

Moldova Struggling to Contain Opponents

Moldova’s campaign has been defined by defensive fragility. They have conceded 26 goals in six matches, including an 11-1 defeat to Norway in September. A 1-1 draw away to Estonia offered brief improvement, but heavy home losses to Israel and Estonia earlier in the group underline their ongoing issues.

At home, Moldova have lost all three qualifiers, scoring just twice and conceding ten. Their 0-4 defeat against Israel showed how quickly their defensive shape collapses under sustained pressure.

Against a side as structured and direct as Italy, containing attacks for long spells will again be a major challenge.

Italy Building Form at the Right Time

Italy arrive in commanding form, having won five of six qualifiers while scoring 18 goals and conceding eight. Their recent 3-0 win against Israel continued a strong run that also included a 5-0 home win over Estonia and a 1-3 success in Tallinn.

The only blemish remains the 0-3 defeat to Norway early in the campaign, which left them chasing top spot.

The visitors have scored at least twice in every away match so far and look balanced between midfield control and forward efficiency.

With qualification potentially hinging on Norway vs Estonia result, Italy are expected to maintain a high attacking tempo from the start.

Moldova vs Italy Prediction

The betting view anticipates a lively first half, and the numbers support it. Italy have led by two or more goals before half-time in three of their last four qualifiers, while Moldova have conceded early in five of six. That makes Over 1.5 goals in the first half at 1.98 odds a strong angle.

Given Italy’s momentum and Moldova’s leaky defence, another comfortable away victory looks likely.

The Italy 3-1 correct score prediction at 17.00 odds fits their recent scoring rhythm and Moldova’s occasional ability to grab a late consolation. Expect Italy to dominate possession, create chances regularly, and finish their qualifying campaign with a convincing win.

Arun- November 13, 2025

Moldova vs Italy Betting Tips

Over 1.5 Goals First Half

OK

1.98 Odds

Italy 3-1

OK

17.00 Odds