Lille vs Marseille Prediction & Match Preview

Marseille will continue their tough schedule with the trip to Villeneuve d’Ascq this Friday. They will lock horns with Lille in the first game of Matchday No 28 at Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

• Lille are unbeaten in six straight affairs across competitions.
• Marseille go into this off the back of three successive losses in all competitions.
• Lille conceded only 7 goals in 13 home fixtures in this term of Ligue 1.

Back-to-back league defeats to Rennes and PSG have put Marseille in a pretty difficult situation. The Phocians fell to 7th place in the Ligue 1 table as a consequence. They are now ten points shy of Monaco in 3rd and seven points behind Lille in 4th position. Jean-Louis Gasset’s men lost the home match to PSG last weekend despite having an extra man on the pitch throughout the entire second half.

Lille will come into this in much higher spirits. They picked up a very important 21 victory over direct rivals for the Champions League spots Rennes last weekend. It was a dominant performance from Paulo Fonseca’s men. Edon Zhegrova proved out to be the hero as his brace made the difference between the two sides on the occasion.

• We did not see goals in the reverse fixture between these rivals in November last year at Orange Velodrome.
• None of the previous seven head-to-head matches ended in an away win.
• Only two of the previous seven H2H games provided three or more goals.

Lille vs Marseille Prediction

Lille continued their pursuit for the top-three finish with a win over Lens seven days ago. They are still three points behind Monaco in 3rd place. We see the hosts as pretty big favourites to claim the spoils here for many reasons.

First of all, Paulo Fonseca’s men are unbeaten in six subsequent matches in all competitions. They own a great home record with 9 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss in 13 Ligue 1 outings at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Marseille will go into this off the back of three straight defeats across competitions. They were powerless against ten-man PSG on Sunday. Lastly, recent H2H tradition favours home teams in this matchup. We just have to go for Lille to win at the 2.20 odds.

The best alternative bet would be Under 2.5 goals at the 1.80 odds. Marseille have failed to find the back of the net in consecutive league games. Only three of their last ten away outings in all competitions provided three or more goals. Lille have shipped just 7 goals in 13 Ligue 1 outings on the home patch this season. Finally, five of the previous seven H2H outings between these counterparts ended with fewer than three goals scored.

Steffen Schmidt- April 3, 2024

Lille vs Marseille Betting Tips

Lille to win

OK

2.20 Odds

Under 2.5 goals

OK

1.85 Odds

Correct Score: Lille 2-0

OK

11.00 Odds