Italy vs Israel Prediction & Betting Tips

Italy vs Israel Match Preview

Italy host Israel in the World Cup Qualification Europe on Tuesday as Group I nears its closing stretch. The Azzurri are already through to the play-offs but still want momentum heading into November. Israel are fighting to stay relevant in the group after slipping nine points behind the top two.

Italy Looking to End Group Stage in Style

Italy have been ruthless at home in this campaign. They crushed Moldova 5-0 and Estonia 5-0 before a 1-3 win in Tallinn last week. That result extended their scoring streak to five straight qualifiers with a total of 15 goals scored and only eight conceded overall.

The Azzurri’s attack has been their standout feature, averaging three goals per match across this qualifying run. Even though they suffered a setback in Norway earlier, they’ve dominated most of their games by sheer attacking volume. Playing at home again, they are expected to dictate the tempo and overwhelm Israel’s shaky defence.

Israel’s Leaky Defense Putting Them Under Pressure

Israel have shown flashes of attacking ability but their defense continues to collapse under pressure. They’ve shipped 16 goals in six matches, the worst record among the top three sides in Group I. Recent defeats against Norway and Italy underline their inconsistency, while even modest teams like Estonia managed to find the net against them.

The visitors remain capable of scoring, with goals in four of their last five outings including a 4-5 loss to Italy earlier in this campaign. However, their away form remains poor and discipline issues at the back make them unreliable in tight games.

Smart Insights by LeagueLane®

• Italy have scored 15 goals in their last five qualifiers.

• Israel have conceded at least two goals in five of their six group matches.

• The last four H2H meetings all produced Over 2.5 goals.

• Italy won both home fixtures against Israel since 2017.

Italy vs Israel Prediction

Italy’s superior quality in both halves of the pitch makes them clear favourites here. Their home record in this group has been flawless, and the combination of quick passing and pressing usually breaks weaker defensive lines early. With Israel’s backline conceding heavily, another high-scoring contest looks likely.

Backing Over 1.5 goals in the first half fits recent trends as Italy have scored early in three of their last four home games. The Azzurri’s control and attacking rhythm suggest they can repeat their success from the reverse fixture, where they scored four goals away.

Given current form and efficiency in front of goal, a 4-1 Italy win looks realistic. Israel should manage a consolation strike, but the hosts’ pace and precision should decide this one comfortably.

Arun- October 14, 2025

Italy vs Israel Betting Tips

Over 1.5 goals first half

OK

2.04 Odds

Italy to win & Both teams to Score

OK

2.60 Odds

Italy 4-1

OK

15.00 Odds