Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Expert Tips

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Match Preview

Excelsior head into this clash after a mixed run of results in the Eredivisie. Their last five outings show two wins and three defeats, including a hard-fought 2–1 away success at Volendam and a narrow 1–0 victory at home over Twente.

However, losses against Sparta Rotterdam (0–1), Utrecht (4–1), and Feyenoord (1–2) underline their inconsistency. With just five goals scored and 13 conceded across six matches this season, their defensive record remains a concern, especially when facing high-scoring opposition.

PSV Eindhoven arrive in Rotterdam with a far stronger record, sitting unbeaten in their last four domestic league games. They recently played out a 2–2 draw with Ajax in a thrilling contest and also secured an impressive 5–3 away victory at NEC Nijmegen.

PSV’s attack has been prolific, hitting 19 goals in six matches, although defensive lapses are evident with 10 conceded in the same period. A surprise 2–0 home defeat to Telstar remains their only league setback, but overall their form and firepower stand out compared to Excelsior.

The head-to-head record strongly favors PSV. They have won all five of the most recent meetings, with emphatic scorelines such as 6–1, 4–0, and 3–1.

Even the most recent clash in January 2025 ended 5–4 in Eindhoven, showing not just PSV’s dominance but also the tendency for these encounters to produce goals. Excelsior’s defensive struggles against PSV in past seasons make this another daunting challenge.

Smart Insights by LeagueLane®

• PSV scored 19 goals in six league matches, averaging over 3 per game.
• Excelsior conceded 13 goals in six games, with just two clean sheets in that span.
• All of the last five head-to-heads were won by PSV, four of them by margins of 2+ goals.
• Four of the last five meetings produced 4+ goals in total, including a wild 5–4 in January 2025.

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Given PSV’s attacking firepower and Excelsior’s shaky defense, this match is set up for goals from the start. With both teams involved in high-scoring encounters recently and the last head-to-head finishing 5–4, the line for Over 1.5 Goals in the First Half at odds of 1.82 makes strong sense, as PSV tend to start aggressively and Excelsior are often exposed early.

As for a correct score, PSV’s consistency in finding the net multiple times suggests another comfortable win is on the cards. A PSV 3–0 victory (9.50 odds) aligns well with their dominance in past meetings and Excelsior’s limited goal output this season. Expect PSV to control proceedings, extend their unbeaten league run, and underline the gulf in class between the two sides.

Finn Larsson- September 23, 2025

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Betting Tips

Over 1.5 Goals First Half

OK

1.82 Odds

PSV 3-0

OK

9.50 Odds