Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau Prediction & Betting Tips

Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau Match Preview

Ethiopia host Guinea-Bissau in Addis Ababa as both sides close their World Cup qualifying campaign. Neither team can progress, yet both will want to finish on a positive note. The visitors still have the better overall record and arrive looking to complete a rare double over their lower-ranked rivals.

Ethiopia Strong at Home but Inconsistent Overall

Ethiopia’s home form has swung between extremes. They hammered Djibouti 6–1 earlier in the campaign but lost heavily to Burkina Faso and fell short against Egypt. The Walia Ibex have managed one win, three draws, and four defeats overall with seven goals scored and eleven conceded.

When they play in Addis Ababa, their energy and direct play create early chances, but defensive lapses often undo their momentum. They have failed to score in two of their last four home matches and rely on fast transitions rather than patient buildup.

Guinea-Bissau Seeking to End with Pride

Guinea-Bissau sit above Ethiopia in the table with two wins and four draws from eight matches. They remain competitive but lack cutting edge in the final third. Away from home they have one victory, one draw, and one loss, showing steady but unspectacular form.

Their recent results highlight a compact style built on defensive organisation. The Djurtus are rarely overwhelmed, conceding just eight goals in the group. They drew 0–0 in the reverse fixture and should approach this one with confidence after winning away at Djibouti earlier in the campaign.

Smart Insights by LeagueLane®

• Guinea-Bissau are unbeaten in their last three against Ethiopia, including a 0–0 draw earlier in qualifying.
• Ethiopia have scored once or fewer in five of eight matches.
• Guinea-Bissau have lost only twice in this group.
• Four of Ethiopia’s last six home fixtures produced Under 2.5 Goals.

Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau Prediction

This fixture is about finishing strong rather than fighting for points that matter. Ethiopia have energy at home but continue to struggle for control once they fall behind. Guinea-Bissau’s defensive balance and ability to manage tempo should give them the edge.

With both teams limited in attack, a tight match with few clear chances is expected. The visitors’ composure and structure make them slight favourites to edge it by a single goal.

Marco Marin- October 5, 2025

Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau Betting Tips

Guinea-Bissau to win

OK

1.69 Odds

Guinea-Bissau 1-0

OK

5.00 Odds