Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips

Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund step into their second Champions League group match after sharing eight goals in the 4-4 draw with Juventus on opening night. The Black and Yellow have been steady since in the Bundesliga with back-to-back clean sheets and a perfect home record. Athletic Bilbao, meanwhile, arrive on the back of a 2-0 defeat to Arsenal and an inconsistent domestic run where they are winless in 4 games.

Dortmund’s Perfect Home Record

The German side have shown two sides to their game in recent weeks. Dortmund’s 4-4 draw in Turin highlighted attacking firepower but also defensive gaps.

Yet in Bundesliga, Dortmund have shut down opponents, keeping clean sheets against Wolfsburg and Mainz.

At Signal Iduna Park, they remain a force. They beat Wolfsburg 1-0 and Heidenheim 2-0 without conceding, showing patience and control. Across their last four competitive games, Dortmund conceded only once at home. The balance between scoring regularly and staying organised has made them difficult to stop.

Bilbao Searching for Consistency

Athletic Club’s Champions League return began with a home defeat to Arsenal, where they struggled to create clear chances. Their domestic form also underlines the same pattern: a narrow win over Alaves followed by defeats to Valencia and Villarreal, plus a draw with Girona.

On the road, results have not been disastrous, but scoring goals remain a main issue. Bilbao failed to score in two of their last three fixtures, while conceding in all but one. Their defense has let in seven goals in the last four La Liga outings, and this fragility makes life harder against sides with Dortmund’s attacking rhythm.

Smart Insights by LeagueLane®

• Dortmund kept three clean sheets in their last four matches across competitions.
• Athletic Club failed to score in two of their last three fixtures.
• Under 2.5 goals landed in Dortmund’s last two Bundesliga wins.
• The only previous competitive meeting between these sides comes now, but Bilbao did beat Dortmund 2-0 in a 2021 friendly.

Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Dortmund’s recent defensive stability suggests this will be a more measured European night than the wild opener in Turin. Their ability to control matches at home while keeping clean sheets is a clear strength. The combination of disciplined defending and reliable finishing makes them strong favourites to secure three points.

Bilbao, in contrast, are still struggling to turn possession into goals. With two blanks in their last three matches, they arrive without momentum in the final third. Their defensive record also raises concerns, as they have allowed goals in almost every outing this season.

Dortmund to win looks the standout pick given their home strength. The under 2.5 goals market also fits, as the hosts have shown a more controlled approach in the Bundesliga.

A repeat of recent narrow victories is the most likely scenario, making a 2-0 home win the best correct score prediction.

Arun- September 30, 2025

Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips

Dortmund to win

OK

1.88 Odds

Under 2.5 goals

OK

2.04 Odds

Dortmund 2-0

OK

9.00 Odds