Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips

Chelsea vs Benfica Match Preview

Chelsea face Benfica at Stamford Bridge in a Champions League group stage encounter that carries weight for both clubs. Each side lost their opening match in Europe which makes this fixture crucial for their hopes of advancing. The added storyline of José Mourinho returning to his old home ground as Benfica head coach ensures an electric atmosphere.

Chelsea searching for stability after mixed start

Chelsea opened their Champions League campaign with a 3-1 defeat away at Bayern Munich. That result showed their defensive gaps against elite opposition and leaves them needing points quickly. In the Premier League their recent form has been uneven with a 3-1 home defeat to Brighton following narrow wins over Lincoln and Brentford.

The squad is still in a transitional phase with younger players carrying responsibility. At Stamford Bridge they can rely on the support of their crowd, but consistency is the missing piece. Their last meeting with Benfica ended in a dramatic 4-1 win after extra time at the Club World Cup, a reminder that Chelsea can find resilience in knockout style contests. That psychological edge could help them again here.

Benfica relying on Mourinho to reset European fortunes

Just like their English opponents, Benfica arrive after a shock 3-2 defeat at Qarabag in their first Champions League outing. That result puts pressure on them to respond quickly if they are to stay in the qualification picture. Domestically they remain strong with recent wins over Gil Vicente and Rio Ave, but setbacks like the loss to Arouca show lapses can still creep in.

The appointment of Jose Mourinho as Benfica manager changes the narrative. His return to Stamford Bridge is significant and will dominate attention, but it also adds tactical steel to a side that has often fallen short in Europe. Benfica’s recent record against Chelsea is poor. They lost both semifinal legs in last season’s Europa League and were beaten again in the Club World Cup. Breaking that cycle is the challenge in London.

Smart Insights by LeagueLane®

• Both teams lost their opening Champions League group game
• Chelsea have won all four competitive meetings with Benfica
• Benfica conceded at least two goals in three of their last five matches
• Chelsea scored four goals in their last meeting with Benfica after extra time

Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction

With both sides starting their group campaign with a defeat, this match takes on the feel of a must win. Chelsea carries the stronger head-to-head record and the boost of playing at Stamford Bridge. Benfica will lean on Mourinho’s experience, but recent history shows they struggle against this opponent.

The betting tips align with a Chelsea win in an open contest. Chelsea to win and both teams to score fits the patterns of Benfica’s leaky defense and the Blues’ home advantage.

The Over 2.5 goals is also a strong option given the way both teams approach games. For a bold call a 2-1 scoreline to Chelsea reflects the balance of form and the likelihood of goals on both sides.

Arun- September 28, 2025

Chelsea vs Benfica Betting Tips

Chelsea to Win & Both Teams to Score

OK

3.10 Odds

Chelsea 2-1

OK

8.50 Odds

Estevao to score anytime

OK

3.20 Odds