Bahia vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips

Bahia vs Gremio Preview

Bahia’s inconsistency continued in midweek following their 2-1 defeat to Vitoria. Despite enjoying the larger share of possession, the hosts started the game on the back foot, conceding the opening goal in the 26th minute through Renato Kayzer’s penalty. They managed to level the score in the 41st minute thanks to Tiago Souza’s well-taken strike, but a defensive lapse later on allowed Raul Caceres to net the winner for the opposition.

At home, Bahia have been outstanding this season, delivering several impressive performances at the Arena Fonte Nova. The hosts have lost only one of their last fifteen home matches, winning twelve and drawing two. Rogerio Ceni will be determined to see his side maintain that remarkable record as they aim to bounce back strongly from last week’s setback.

Meanwhile, Gremio returned to winning ways last time out after ending a three-game winless run with a solid 2-0 victory over Sao Paulo. The visitors looked sharp throughout the encounter, constantly threatening whenever they had the ball. Sao Paulo’s goalkeeper, Rafael, was kept busy and had to make five crucial saves, emerging as his team’s standout performer on the night.

However, Gremio’s away form remains a major concern. They have managed just two wins from their last ten matches on the road, drawing three and losing five during that period, while scoring ten goals and conceding fifteen. Despite those struggles, they currently occupy the final Copa Libertadores qualification playoff spot with 43 points from the same number of games this season.

Bahia vs Gremio Prediction

We back Bahia to win because of their impressive home form, which includes an unbeaten run of fifteen matches, while Gremio’s poor away record is unlikely to change suddenly. Moreover, Bahia have been the stronger side between the two teams this season, having collected seven more points than their opponents.

A high-scoring affair is not expected here, as recent head-to-head meetings between these sides have produced low-scoring outcomes. In fact, the last six encounters have averaged just 1.6 goals per game, suggesting a tight contest once again. Lastly, both teams are not expected to score, as neither side has found the net in their last four head-to-head meetings.

Afolabi Ezekiel- October 18, 2025

Bahia vs Gremio Betting Tips

Bahia Win To Nil

OK

2.62 Odds

Bahia 1-0

OK

6.50 Odds