Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Match Preview

Atletico Madrid vs Dortmund Match Preview

Atletico Madrid host Borussia Dortmund in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-final on Wednesday evening at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano. Los Colchoneros will search for their first semi-final since 2016/17. They are the favourites on the evening and over two legs. Could the Germans cause them problems?

• Atletico Madrid won 10 and drew 6 of the last 16 home outings in the knockout stage of the UEFA Champions League.
• Los Colchoneros have conceded only 4 goals in these 16 matches.
• Only 1 of Borussia Dortmund’s last 13 Champions League games provided three or more goals.

A patchy domestic form has kept Atletico Madrid miles away from the title bout in this term of Spanish La Liga. Diego Simeone’s men will even have to dig deep to secure the top-four finish, currently sitting just two points adrift of 5th-placed Athletic Bilbao. Los Colchoneros will enter this game in high spirits, though, following a 2-1 road win over Villarreal in the previous league fixture ten days ago.

The same can’t be said for Borussia Dortmund. They snapped a four-win thread with a disappointing 0-1 home defeat to Stuttgart on Saturday afternoon. The loss has halted the team’s push for the top-four finish in German Bundesliga. Edin Terzic’s men have fallen to fifth place as a consequence.

• Atletico and Borussia Dortmund featured in the same Champions League group in the 2018/19 campaign.
• We’ve seen two home wins in their head-to-head encounters on the occasion. Interestingly, visiting teams have failed to find the back of the net.
• This will only be the third head-to-head meeting between the two sides.

Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Both teams have gone through patchy campaigns in their domestic divisions. However, they’ve done well in the elite continental competition so far this term. Atletico Madrid showed strength by eliminating the sovereign Serie A leaders Inter Milan in the last-16 round. Diego Simeone’s squad once again proved their resilience in important matches on the home patch in this competition. Indeed, Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in the last 16 knockout phase games in the Champions League at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano. They’ve won ten along the way. We thus have no other option but to back the home win pick at the 1.80 odds as the main betting option here.

Alternatively, we will take the Under 2.5 goals pick at the 1.85 odds. Stern defensive displays have helped Borussia Dortmund survive the “group of death” ahead of the likes of PSG, AC Milan, and Newcastle. The fact that 12 of their last 13 Champions League matches finished with fewer than three goals scored speaks volumes. Atletico Madrid have been playing in a more attacking style so far in the season but this is the knockout phase. The stakes are high and we by no means expect Diego Simeone to take unnecessary risks in the final third on Wednesday.

Steffen Schmidt- April 8, 2024

Atletico Madrid vs Dortmund Betting Tips

Atletico Madrid to win

OK

	1.83 Odds
	1.80 Odds

Under 2.5 goals

OK

1.88 Odds

Correct Score: Atletico Madrid 1-0

OK

	7.00 Odds
	6.50 Odds