Almeria vs Burgos Prediction & Betting Tips

Almeria vs Burgos Match Preview

Almeria return home in confident mood after a run that has restored momentum and strengthened their defensive identity. Burgos arrive with limited attacking output and a series of narrow defeats that underline their struggle to create sustained pressure. With both sides approaching the match from contrasting recent trends, the hosts hold a clear sense of direction.

Almeria Show Control and Consistency

Almeria’s recent sequence reflects a team that has tightened structure while maintaining threat on the break. The 2-1 win at FC Andorra came through composed phases and sharper reactions around the box.

Before that, their 0-0 draw with Huesca showed discipline rather than creativity, although their 3-0 win at home to Cadiz and 3-0 success at Leganes highlighted their ability to extend dominance once they take control.

They did suffer a 3-2 setback at AD Ceuta, but even in that match they created enough chances to stay competitive. At home, Almeria have looked balanced and assertive, with improved defensive positioning helping them manage matches in calmer fashion. Their current form suggests they can dictate tempo and protect their advantage when required.

Burgos Struggle to Find a Way Forward

Burgos arrive with an attack that has offered little variation in recent weeks. The 0-1 loss to Albacete followed defeats at AD Ceuta and against Racing Santander where they failed to threaten consistently.

Their only positive result in this run came in a 2-0 win at Mirandes, a match decided by clinical finishing rather than sustained superiority.

A 0-0 draw with Castellon also reflected their cautious setup, yet did little to address their difficulties progressing the ball. Away from home, Burgos have found it even harder to assert themselves, and their head to head history offers little encouragement, with losses in all three of their most recent visits to Almeria.

Almeria vs Burgos Prediction

The best bet from the data is Almeria to win to nil at 2.70 odds. The hosts have shown renewed solidity in recent matches and have kept clean sheets in two of their last three. Burgos, meanwhile, have failed to score in four of their last five, which supports a scenario where Almeria control the match without conceding.

Another smart pick is leaning towards Almeria continuing their efficient home form, as their recent displays show calm management once the first goal arrives. Burgos lack the tools to disrupt compact defences which further strengthens the case for a low scoring yet controlled home victory.

The correct score prediction is Almeria 2-0 at 7.50 odds. Almeria create enough chances to score more than once, while Burgos’ lack of penetration suggests they will struggle to break through.

Peter Green- December 11, 2025

Almeria vs Burgos Betting Tips

Almeria to Win To Nil

OK

2.70 Odds

Correct score: Almeria 2-0

OK

7.50 Odds