Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Alaves vs Real Madrid Match Preview

Alaves return home after a mixed run that has been shaped by fine margins and limited attacking output. Real Madrid arrive following a demanding schedule but continue to show strong attacking intent, particularly in matches where space opens up. The balance between Alaves’ defensive discipline and Madrid’s scoring depth defines this contest.

Alaves Remain Competitive but Lack Consistency in Attack

Alaves’ recent form shows a side capable of staying in games but often struggling to dictate outcomes. They have won two of their last five league matches, including a 1-0 home victory over Real Sociedad, but have failed to score in three games across that period. Those narrow defeats against Celta Vigo and Girona followed a similar pattern where chances were scarce.

At home, Alaves tend to keep matches tight. The wins over Real Sociedad and Espanyol came through controlled defensive phases rather than sustained pressure. However, when forced to chase games, as seen in the 3-1 loss at Barcelona, their structure becomes stretched.

Against elite opposition, Alaves often rely on compact lines and patience. While that approach has limited heavy defeats, it also reduces their attacking presence, which could invite prolonged pressure in this fixture.

Real Madrid Continue to Create Goals Across Game Phases

Real Madrid’s recent results underline an attack that remains effective even when results fluctuate. They scored three away at Athletic Bilbao and four at Olympiacos, finding goals in both halves in each of those matches. That ability to maintain threat after the break has been a recurring feature.

Defensively, Madrid have shown some vulnerability. They conceded twice against Manchester City and Celta Vigo, and even in the draw at Girona they allowed chances once their tempo dropped. Matches involving Madrid are increasingly shaped by open phases rather than control.

The head to head record strongly favours Los Blancos. They have won the last five meetings with Alaves, often managing the game patiently before applying pressure through sustained attacking spells.

Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction

The best bet from the data is Real Madrid to win and both teams to score at 3.25 odds. Alaves have shown they can nick goals at home, while Madrid’s attacking quality usually translates into multiple scoring moments even when conceding.

Another strong value bet is Real Madrid to score in both halves at 2.50 odds. They managed that against Athletic Bilbao in La Liga and Olympiacos in the Champions League, reflecting their ability to maintain attacking intensity across ninety minutes.

Over 3.5 goals at 2.88 odds also fits the recent pattern. Madrid matches are trending toward higher scoring outcomes, and if Alaves find a way through at home, the game state could open up significantly.

Peter Green- December 12, 2025

Alaves vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

Real Madrid to win & Both Teams to Score

OK

3.25 Odds

Real Madrid to Score In Both Halves

OK

2.50 Odds

Over 3.5 goals

OK

2.88 Odds