Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction & Betting Tips

Ajax vs Excelsior Match Preview

Ajax will look to put recent frustrations behind them when they host Excelsior in Amsterdam, aiming to end a poor home run that has seen them win only once in five matches across all competitions. Excelsior arrive having lost three of their last five games but continue to pose a threat on the break, particularly away from home. Both sides have been vulnerable defensively, which suggests another open contest between these two familiar Eredivisie opponents.

Ajax Searching for Conviction After Unsteady Spell

Ajax’s form has been erratic, with moments of control often undone by defensive lapses. Their recent 2-1 defeat at Utrecht was their third loss in five matches, following a 0-3 home setback against Galatasaray and a 1-1 draw with Heerenveen. Despite those results, Ajax’s 3-2 win away to Twente showed that their attacking framework still produces chances, even when under pressure.

At home, Ajax have struggled for fluency, with their only recent win coming in the 2-1 victory over NAC Breda. The losses to AZ Alkmaar and Inter Milan at the Johan Cruyff Arena exposed gaps in transition defence, yet Ajax continue to create enough to trouble most sides. Their scoring record remains strong in the Eredivisie, and with Excelsior’s defensive inconsistency, this fixture offers a good chance to reassert attacking dominance.

Excelsior Competitive but Lacking Finishing Edge

Excelsior’s campaign has been defined by narrow margins. Their latest 1-2 home defeat to Heracles was their third loss in five, but they remain competitive in most matches. The 2-2 draw at Telstar and the 1-0 Cup defeat to Maassluis showed that while they create enough opportunities, converting them consistently remains a problem.

Away from home, Excelsior’s record highlights that inconsistency. They have failed to win any of their last four away matches in all competitions, though they did draw once. Their only recent away success came earlier in the season with a 2-1 victory at Volendam. They are organised enough to stay in games but tend to concede under sustained pressure, particularly when facing high-pressing sides like Ajax.

Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction

History strongly favours the hosts. Ajax have scored at least four goals in three of their last five meetings with Excelsior, including a 7-1 home victory in 2022 and a 4-1 away win in 2023. Both sides have scored in each of the last two encounters, and with Ajax’s defence still unconvincing, that pattern could continue.

The most balanced value pick is Ajax to win and both teams to score at 2.40 odds, which aligns with both sides’ current form and head-to-head record. Ajax’s front line continues to produce, but Excelsior have scored in three of their last five away Eredivisie fixtures, often striking through quick transitions.

For the goals market, Over 3.5 goals at 1.91 odds also fits naturally with this matchup. Each of Ajax’s last three home league games has produced two or more goals, while Excelsior’s defensive fragility ensures space will open up for the hosts.

Afolabi Ezekiel- November 18, 2025

Ajax vs Excelsior Betting Tips

Ajax Win & Both Teams To Score

OK

2.40 Odds

Over 3.5 Goals

OK

1.91 Odds