Ajax vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips

Ajax vs Benfica Match Preview

Ajax and Benfica return to European action in search of their first win in the group phase. However, the Portuguese giants arrive with some rhythm despite recent setbacks, and their domestic results suggest a sharper competitive edge at the moment.

Ajax’s Form Shows Persistent Defensive Issues

Ajax come into this fixture with very little margin for error. Their recent results capture a team struggling to manage pressure in both domestic and European matches. The defeat against Excelsior by 1-2 continued a run of matches where they conceded in key moments.

The narrow 2-1 loss at Utrecht in the Eredivisie and the 0-3 home defeat against Galatasaray underline the same problem, as the side finds it difficult to recover once they fall behind.

Their Champions League form confirms the same pattern through defeats against Galatasaray by 0-3, Chelsea by 5-1, Marseille by 4-0 and Inter Milan by 0-2. Across these matches they struggled to create sustained pressure.

Benfica’s Recent Record Suggests More Balance

Benfica arrive with a steadier base after a 0-2 victory at Atletico CP in the Cup game and continued an upward turn in domestic competition after a 2-2 draw against Casa Pia.

Their Champions League run has been challenging, yet their performances were competitive despite the defeats. The losses to Bayer Leverkusen by 0-1, Newcastle by 3-0, Chelsea by 1-0 and Qarabag by 2-3 remain tight games apart from the one in Newcastle.

They carry more attacking intent than recent scorelines suggest and their domestic form strengthens their case.

Ajax vs Benfica Prediction

The best bet from Champions League match between Ajax and Benfica is both teams to score at 1.67 odds. Ajax rarely keep a clean sheet and their recent matches feature consistent defensive gaps. Benfica bring enough forward movement from domestic fixtures to challenge them. Ajax still create openings even in defeats, which keeps this market relevant.

Additionally, the away win at 1.97 odds also deserves attention. Jose Mourinho’s men’s overall balance across their past five domestic performances puts them in a stronger position than Ajax, who continue to search for authority in matches. Benfica have also avoided defeat in recent head to head meetings.

The correct score prediction of 2-1 to Benfica at 8.00 odds fits naturally with both teams to score and the broader flow of recent form. Ajax continue to concede in key moments and Benfica tend to keep matches competitive even when they do not dominate. This scenario matches the data and provides a reasonable picture of how the match could unfold.

Arun- November 23, 2025

Ajax vs Benfica Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score

OK

1.67 Odds

Benfica to win

OK

1.97 Odds

Benfica 2-1

OK

8.00 Odds