AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Expert Tips

AC Milan vs Lecce Match Preview

AC Milan return to San Siro on the back of a convincing 3–0 away win over Udinese, a result that underlined their sharpness in both boxes.

That victory followed a 1–0 home success against Bologna and a clinical 2–0 win at Lecce, meaning the Rossoneri have kept three straight clean sheets in Serie A.

The only blemish in recent weeks came in a narrow 1–2 defeat to Cremonese, though they also advanced comfortably in the Coppa Italia with a 2–0 win over Bari.

In their last five outings, Milan have four wins and only one loss, scoring eight times and conceding just twice.

Lecce, by contrast, are struggling for consistency. They come into this match having lost 1–2 at home to Cagliari, which followed a heavy 1–4 setback at Atalanta.

Their last victory came in the Coppa Italia (2–0 vs Juve Stabia), while in the league they’ve taken just one point from their last four fixtures, a goalless draw away to Genoa.

In this stretch, Lecce have failed to score in two games and conceded nine goals across four league matches, showing clear defensive issues against stronger sides.

The head-to-head record reinforces Milan’s dominance. They have won each of the last three meetings without conceding—2–0 away in August 2025 and back-to-back 3–0 home wins in 2024.

Even the one exception, a 2–2 draw in November 2023, still highlighted Milan’s attacking superiority. Across the last five encounters, Milan have scored 11 goals to Lecce’s four, including three consecutive clean sheets at San Siro.

Smart Insights by LeagueLane®

• AC Milan have won four of their last five competitive matches, keeping three straight clean sheets.
• Lecce have lost three of their last four league games, conceding nine goals in that run.
• Milan’s last three head-to-head wins over Lecce came with clean sheets (3–0, 3–0, 2–0).
• Four of the last five H2Hs produced at least three goals.

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

Milan’s recent form and H2H dominance point strongly toward another home victory. With Lecce losing heavily in recent weeks and conceding multiple goals, the “AC Milan -1.5 Asian Handicap” (2.00 odds) looks well supported.

Goals should also be on the cards. With four of the last five head-to-heads clearing the 2.5 mark, “Over 2.5 goals” (2.10 odds) carries value, especially given Lecce’s defensive leaks and Milan’s scoring rhythm.

A repeat of past results is very possible, with the 3–0 scoreline to Milan (7.20 odds) reflecting both their clean-sheet run and Lecce’s struggles in front of goal.

Finn Larsson- September 21, 2025

AC Milan vs Lecce Betting Tips

AC Milan -1.5 Asian Handicap

OK

2.00 Odds

Over 2.5 goals

OK

2.10 Odds

AC Milan 3-0

OK

7.20 Odds