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Peter Green - January 9, 2019
Orleans vs Metz
France – Ligue 2.
Date: Friday, 11th January 2019.
Kick-Off at 19:00 UK/ 20:00 CET
Venue: Stade de la Source (Orléans).
A struggling Orleans side will be facing the high flying Metz in a home game on Friday. The latter will be looking to continue their winning form and making sure they get automatic promotion.
The club based in Orleans will have to improve their defense against one of the best scoring sides in the league. The hosts have given away 29 goals which are 4 more than what they scored. After a spell of losing matches, they came back to winning ways with an away win against Beziers.
At present, the hosts are on a 2 match win streak in all competitions. Now they have 3 wins and 2 losses in their recent 5 matches across all venues. All 4 of those 5 games had a score with more than 2.5 goals in total. A 3 game losing streak at home ended with a win in the cup, but in the league, they are still on an active 2 match losing streak.
In 4 of their previous 6 games at home, the score at final whistle had more than 2.5 goals in total. In all 4 of these games they lost and conceded 2 or more goals.
The Maroons are likely to rejoin Ligue 1 after their first season in the second tier. With 41 points they are at the top scoring 32 goals. The toppers have one of the best defenses which have only conceded 12 goals after 19 rounds are completed.
They have not lost any of their previous 8 competitive matches of which they won 7. Currently, they are on a 4 match win streak and the most recent 7 games had fewer than 2.5 goals in total. Away form is also the same, with 8 games unbeaten run with 6 wins included. Fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in their last 4 matches in front of their own fans.
Things will be pretty easy for the Maroons on Friday if the hosts repeat their defensive errors which they did at the start of the season.
Metz have not stepped a foot wrong in their last 8 competitive matches. They remain unbeaten during that period and won 7 of those games. I don’t think they will lose against a side which can’t win even their home matches. So I think it will be a straight forward victory for Metz and a bet can be placed on the same with 2.00 odds.
The visitors have been scoring regularly since November 2018. They have never failed to score in 8 matches on the row. So there will definitely be goals on Friday. In 6 of the last 7 matches that Orleans played, the final score had over 2.5 goals in total. So we can expect a match with more than 2.5 goals and bet on the same with 2.12 odds.
