Steffen Schmidt - July 10, 2023
Barcelona SC vs Estudiantes
CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana
Date: 12 July 2023, Wednesday
Kick-off at 01:00 UK / 02:00 CET
Venue: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil).
Barcelona SC will host Estudiantes in the first leg of the last 32 round of Copa Sudamericana on Tuesday evening in Guayaquil as the winner of this tie takes on Brazilian Goias in the next round.
The visitors enter the game in much higher spirits. They have lost just one of the last 22 matches in all competitions (a 1-0 slip-up at Colon in June).
They have had an extraordinary campaign in Copa Sudamericana, finishing the group second to RB Bragantino (on goal difference) despite winning four and drawing two of six matches.
Estudiantes are also doing great in the Argentine Liga Profesional where they sit 6th in the league table with only 5 losses in 24 matches since the beginning of the season.
The story is completely opposite with Barcelona who just can’t seem to find a way to fix the obvious defensive holes these days.
The Ecuadorian outfit lost five, drew one, and won one of the last seven matches in all competitions.
They have conceded at least two goals in five of the previous six outings as we have seen the Over 2.5 goals FT & Both Teams To Score option landing in each of them.
Estudiantes have allowed just one goal in the last four games in all competitions, a streak that includes a 4-0 drubbing of Bolivian side Oriente Petrolero in the last game of the group in Copa Sudamericana.
For the sake of comparison, Barcelona SC came third in their Copa Libertadores group with Palmeiras and Bolivar (a team from Bolivia).
Barcelona have not been pulling up any trees of late and we have to try our luck with the 3.00 odds offered for Estudiantes to grab the win on Tuesday night. After all, the Argentines have claimed wins in each of the last three visits to Guayaquil.
Alternatively, we like Estudiantes to keep a clean sheet at the lucrative 3.25 odds knowing they have allowed just one goal in the last four games across competitions.