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Banker Bets & Long Shots – This Week’s Premier League Value

Arun - April 1, 2025

The Premier League delivers a stacked schedule this week, with 15 matches packed into five days. From title contenders eyeing Champions League spots to bottom-half clubs battling to stay alive, there’s no shortage of intensity — or opportunity.

The same goes for the betting board, which offers something for every type of bettor. Whether you’re leaning on high-confidence picks or taking a swing at an underdog upset, the smart move is to blend a few reliable wagers with one or two long shots that could shake up the weekend.

And if you’re betting from the UK, it’s worth checking out the trending bet365 bonus code for UK — a great way to unlock added value on both banker bets and bold plays this week.

Banker Bet: Arsenal to Handle Business at Home

Arsenal vs. Fulham – Tuesday, April 1

Pick: Arsenal to win (-230)

Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal side has been locked in all season, especially at home. The Gunners have won 9 of 14 at the Emirates in league play, and they’ve rarely looked rattled by bottom-half teams. Fulham, meanwhile, have won just two away games all season and haven’t beaten Arsenal in North London in decades.

Bukayo Saka and Martin Ødegaard continue to drive the attack, while the back line has kept clean sheets in five of the last seven at home. It’s hard to find an angle where Fulham threatens — even a draw would feel like a massive result for Marco Silva’s squad. At -230, this isn’t a flashy bet, but it’s a strong foundational piece for any midweek parlay.

Banker Bet: Manchester City to Roll Against Leicester City

Manchester City vs. Leicester City – Wednesday, April 2

Pick: Man City to win (-550)

There are banker bets — and then there are “don’t overthink it” bets. This is the latter.

Manchester City are a juggernaut at the Etihad, boasting a 14-8-3 home record and averaging over 2 goals per game in front of their own fans. Erling Haaland leads the league in scoring and should have his way against a Leicester City defense that’s allowed 60+ goals already this season.

Leicester, back in the top flight after promotion, are finding life rough near the bottom of the table. They’ve lost six of their last eight, and their current form makes even a competitive showing feel unlikely. The -550 odds won’t excite anyone playing straight up, but this is a reliable anchor leg in multi-bet tickets. For better value, City to win by 2+ or take a first-half lead could also be in play.

Long Shot: Everton to Shock Arsenal (Again)

Everton vs. Arsenal – Saturday, April 5

Pick: Everton to win (+500)

Yes, we’re backing Arsenal earlier in the week. But a few days later at Goodison Park, the mood changes.

This fixture has been a banana peel for the Gunners before. Last season, Everton stunned Arsenal 1–0 in Sean Dyche’s debut. The Toffees don’t play beautiful football, but they make it ugly in a way Arsenal historically doesn’t love. The crowd at Goodison can turn matches into trench warfare — and Arsenal will be on short rest after their Tuesday tilt.

At +500, there’s serious value in an Everton side that’s already upset Newcastle and Tottenham at home this season. It’s not the most probable result, but the payout is hard to ignore. For those looking to hedge, Everton or Draw (Double Chance) also carries value around +170.

Long Shot: West Ham to Take Down Bournemouth

West Ham United vs. AFC Bournemouth – Saturday, April 5

Pick: West Ham to win (+220)

Bournemouth come into this one as slight favorites, but that line deserves a second look. West Ham haven’t had a standout season, but they’ve still taken points in six of their last eight home matches, and when Jarrod Bowen is on, they can beat anyone outside the top six.

The Cherries, for all their mid-table stability, aren’t exactly road warriors. And asking them to go into the London Stadium and take three points feels like a coin flip at best. That makes the +220 moneyline for West Ham a compelling long play. It’s the type of result that might not make headlines, but it cashes tickets — and that’s what counts.

Final Words

The Premier League never sleeps, and neither does betting value. Arsenal and Manchester City offer strong anchors for conservative bettors this week, while Everton and West Ham present real upside for those willing to swing. The best approach? Pair a banker with a flyer and balance confidence and upside. With a bit of luck, this week’s slate could deliver more than just points in the table — it could pay out where it counts.

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