Peter Green - March 29, 2019
Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden
Germany – 2. Bundesliga
Date: Monday, 1st April 2019
Kick-off at 18.30 UK/ 19.30 CET
Venue: Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue).
Dresden has been having a terrible run on the road this season. For the last five road trips in a row, the team has shot blanks, and they have shown a tendency to shut off especially under pressure. They hold just a five-point surplus over the exit line and are the only team that has not won a tie in the last five match-days.
Aue will use this game as a chance to improve their league standing. Their defeat against Ingolstadt at home was definitely an embarrassment, but the team has recovered from the shock result. But still, a visit by one of the weakest road teams in the league, and a chance to record a dominating win is always welcomed.
Aue was unbeaten in 10 of their last 14 matches, and in 16 of their last 22 at home. Aue also managed two or more goals in four of their last seven home fixtures. Meanwhile, Dresden is on a streak of seven winless games, and returned a single win from the last ten match-days. On the road, they lost the last three in a row, and are winless in the last five. Their last ten games on the road saw them winning just once.
In h2h ties as well, Aue has the superiority. Four of the last six overall wins and five of the last six at this venue went their way. Moreover, Aue managed to find the back of the net in 10 of their last 11 home h2h games. Expect Aue to avoid a loss at all costs this Monday.
Going on, Dresden failed to score in their last five straight away games. It’s rational to expect the hosts to keep their half of the pitch clean at least for the first 45 minutes.